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Table 2 Rainfall pattern of Cape Coast

From: Markov chain analysis of the rainfall patterns of five geographical locations in the south eastern coast of Ghana

Month

Initial matrix (p)

Long term probability matrix

Probability of either ‘rain’ or ‘dry’ on a day

January

\( \left(\begin{array}{l}0.06\ 0.94\\ {}0.16\ 0.84\end{array}\right) \)

\( {p}^8=\left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.145\ 0.854\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.145\ 0.854\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

0.145 0.854

February

\( \left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.14\ 0.86\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.07\ 0.93\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

\( {p}^6=\left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.075\ 0.923\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.075\ 0.923\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

0.075 0.923

March

\( \left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.23\ 0.77\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.06\ 0.94\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

\( {p}^9=\left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.072\ 0.928\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.072\ 0.928\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

0.072 0.928

April

\( \left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.29\ 0.71\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.42\ 0.58\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

\( {p}^6=\left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.280\ 0.720\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.280\ 0.720\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

0.280 0.720

May

\( \left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.23\ 0.77\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.30\ 0.70\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

\( {p}^8=\left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.372\ 0.628\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.372\ 0.628\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

0.372 0.628

June

\( \left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.60\ 0.40\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.27\ 0.43\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

\( {p}^{13}=\left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.403\ 0.597\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.403\ 0.597\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

0.403 0.597

July

\( \left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.45\ 0.55\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.55\ 0.45\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

\( {p}^7=\left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.50\ 0.50\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.50\ 0.50\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

0.50 0.50

August

\( \left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.23\ 0.77\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.39\ 0.61\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

\( {p}^8=\left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.336\ 0.664\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.336\ 0.664\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

0.336 0.664

September

\( \left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.33\ 0.67\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.10\ 0.90\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

\( {p}^{10}=\left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.130\ 0.870\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.130\ 0.870\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

0.130 0.870

October

\( \left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.32\ 0.68\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.42\ 0.58\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

\( {p}^7=\left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.382\ 0.618\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.382\ 0.618\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

0.382 0.610

November

\( \left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.23\ 0.77\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.17\ 0.83\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

\( {p}^6=\left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.182\ 0.820\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.182\ 0.820\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

0.182 0.820

December

\( \left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.03\ 0.97\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.13\ 0.87\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

\( {p}^7=\left(\begin{array}{c}\hfill 0.118\ 0.882\hfill \\ {}\hfill 0.118\ 0.882\hfill \end{array}\right) \)

0.118 0.882